What are the chances Aaron Hernandez gets out of prison?

After Aaron Hernandez was cleared of double murder Friday, prosecutors said victims’ families took some solace knowing that Hernandez would not be set free. He was convicted two years ago of killing Odin Lloyd, so he is still serving a sentence of life without parole.

“If those appeals are exhausted, he will spend the rest of his natural life behind bars, so that does give the families — and, frankly, our office — some consolation,” Suffolk County District Attorney Dan Conley said after Friday’s verdict of not guilty.

However, Hernandez’s attorneys have appealed for a new trial in that case. And Hernandez has shown a willingness to fight every charge against him.

So what are the chances he successfully appeals that prior conviction and, down the road, walks free?

Slim but not impossible, several legal experts told CNN.

“I don’t see that happening,” said Rosanna Cavallaro, a law professor at Suffolk University. “I don’t think his fate changes because of this (verdict).”

Hernandez’s appeal, which will take place at a later date, will try to combat his first-degree murder conviction for the June 2013 killing of Lloyd, who was dating the sister of Hernandez’s fiancee.

How an appeal would work

In general, appeals cannot challenge what the jury found as fact, but they can challenge legal decisions by the court that influenced the case. For example, typical appealable issues include lack of sufficient evidence to convict, improper admission of evidence, jury misconduct or incorrect jury instructions.

If a higher court judge agrees with the defense’s appeal, the judge could declare a mistrial and award Hernandez a new trial. Hernandez could then have a second chance to convince a jury he did not kill Lloyd, whose body was found in an industrial parking lot less than a mile from Hernandez’s home.

“He’s going to be hanging onto the hope and prayer that someday his other murder case will be overturned,” said Philip A. Tracy Jr., a Boston-based attorney who has followed Hernandez’s cases closely.

However, the chances of reversal are “not very high” in this type of murder case, according to Stephen J. Weymouth, a criminal defense lawyer in Boston.

“Not that many first-degree murder convictions get reversed,” he said.

Even if defense attorneys identify a legal error, the higher court judge would have to certify that the error was harmful or material enough to have changed the case. Simple errors or minor issues could be declared harmless if they didn’t affect the case significantly.

The Lloyd case was ‘much stronger’

Unlike the most recent double murder case against Hernandez, the argument that Hernandez killed Lloyd in Bristol County was “much stronger,” both Tracy and Weymouth said.

“There is not a great appealable issue,” Tracy said.

Prosecutors in the Lloyd case tracked Hernandez’s movements to the scene of the crime and showed surveillance video of Hernandez holding a gun, for example.

By comparison, the case against Hernandez in the killings of Safiro Furtado and Daniel de Abreu outside a Boston nightclub in July 2012 was largely based on the testimony of Alexander Bradley, a witness with a seedy past who received immunity to testify.

In addition, many legal issues and questions of admissible evidence in the Lloyd case were decided in favor of the defense, Cavallaro said.

For example, jurors in the Lloyd case were not allowed to hear that Hernandez had been indicted for the murders of Furtado and de Abreu. They also weren’t allowed to hear testimony from Bradley alleging that Hernandez shot him in the face.

Those have proven to be smart legal decisions given that he was acquitted of those charges on Friday. If those decisions had gone the other way, Hernandez may have had grounds to appeal for a mistrial.

“I don’t think there’s any reason to be particularly optimistic about an appeal in Bristol County,” Cavallaro said.

One appealable issue in Lloyd’s case is whether any jurors improperly talked to an outside person about the case, but experts were skeptical of that as well.

“So that’s the only thing they have, and I don’t think it stands up very well,” Tracy said.

Looking at it all, Tracy said there was just one clear path to Hernandez’s freedom.

“His only way out of jail is a governor’s pardon,” he said.


Jury acquits Aaron Hernandez of murder charges

A jury on Friday cleared Aaron Hernandez of committing a double murder in 2012, handing the former New England Patriots star his first significant legal victory since his shocking arrest for a third slaying in 2013.

But by day’s end, Hernandez, whose career highlights included a Super Bowl touchdown and a $40 million contract, was returned to Souza-Baranowski Correctional Center in Shirley, where he is serving a life sentence without a chance of parole for his earlier conviction for fatally shooting Odin L. Lloyd in June 2013.

His latest trial lasted a month, and the jury deliberated for six days. He nodded and choked back tears when the verdict came down Friday afternoon — not guilty on every charge except one, a gun-related crime.

Hernandez, 27, turned toward Shayanna Jenkins-Hernandez, his longtime fiancee and the mother of his daughter, and said, “I love you.”

After rendering their verdict Friday, jurors declined to comment, except for a brief statement that foreperson Lindsey Stringer read. She said the jury “based our decision on the evidence presented and the law” but took no questions from reporters.

Relatives of Daniel de Abreu and Safiro Furtado, the two men Hernandez was charged with killing in July 2012, sobbed when the acquittal came down in Suffolk Superior Court.

Maria Teixeira, Furtado’s mother, struggled to keep her composure before the verdict was even announced and later left the courtroom in tears.

Family members declined to comment as they left the courtroom, but before they stepped outside, one relative called out, “He got away with murder!”

When the verdict came down, Jenkins-Hernandez, his fiancee, cried, holding the hands of two friends and nodding furiously with her eyes shut. She later told reporters she was “very happy.”

It was a sentiment echoed by Ronald Sullivan, one of Hernandez’s lawyers, who said the “actual perpetrator of this crime was given immunity by the Commonwealth. He [Hernandez] was charged with something that someone else did.’’

Sullivan was referring to Alexander Bradley, the star prosecution witness, who testified under an immunity deal.

Bradley told jurors he was driving Hernandez’s Toyota 4Runner when the athlete reached across him and fired five shots into the victims’ BMW in the early morning hours of July 16, 2012.

The defense argued that Bradley, an admitted drug dealer currently jailed in Connecticut for shooting up a Hartford club in 2014, shot de Abreu and Furtado over a drug sale.

District Attorney Daniel F. Conley bristled at what he said was the defense’s “inappropriate” portrayal of the victims, two immigrants who worked nights cleaning offices.

“These were two hard-working, humble Cape Verdean immigrants trying to make a life here in this country,” Conley said. “These were two good young men whose lives were ruthlessly and senselessly taken.”

Bradley’s testimony over three-plus days on the stand was often riveting.

He portrayed Hernandez as a wildly impulsive athlete who, despite his fame and limitless potential, was prone to rages over minor slights, especially at the Boston clubs they frequented.

One such instance occurred at Cure Lounge about two hours before the killings, Bradley said, when de Abreu bumped into Hernandez and spilled a drink on him. Rather than apologize, de Abreu smirked at Hernandez, touching off the deadly drive-by at the corner of Shawmut Avenue and Herald Street, according to Bradley.

He said Hernandez became increasingly paranoid in the months after the killings, banning friends from using iPhones in his presence and constantly looking over his shoulder for undercover detectives. He even thought police were tracking him from the sky by helicopter.

His paranoia reached a fever pitch early on Feb. 13, 2013, Bradley said, when Hernandez shot him in an SUV after a night of heavy partying in South Florida and left him for dead in a parking lot.

The jury refused to credit that account as well, acquitting Hernandez of a witness intimidation charge stemming from the alleged Florida shooting. Hernandez was also cleared of firing at the three surviving victims in the South End drive-by, but was convicted of illegal gun possession. He was immediately sentenced to serve four to five years in prison on that charge.

In a trial that saw more than 60 witnesses, the bulk of the case seemed to turn on Bradley, Hernandez’s former friend and drug supplier.

Former New England Patriots tight end Aaron Hernandez turned to look in the direction of the jury as he reacted to his double murder acquittal on Friday.

The prosecution’s key witness calmly told jurors he lost his right eye when a bullet from Hernandez’s gun struck him in the face.

He has a prosthetic right eye and wore glasses during the trial, and occasionally glanced at Hernandez and shook his head, apparently still in disbelief over his former friend’s alleged actions.

Jose Baez, Hernandez’s lead attorney, aggressively attacked Bradley’s credibility, deriding him on the stand as “a killer” nicknamed Rocky because “you rock people to sleep.”

He highlighted Bradley’s correspondence with Hernandez after the Florida shooting, when he threatened to sue and kill the athlete, bragged about his personal weapons arsenal, and said he had “wolves” ready to assist him in committing acts of violence.

And in perhaps the most damaging blow to Bradley’s credibility, Baez repeatedly pointed to a text he sent to his lawyer in July 2013 expressing concern about being charged with perjury in a related case. Bradley had asked his attorney if he could be charged with perjury for telling a grand jury “the truth about not being able to recall . . . who shot me.”

But Bradley was generally unflappable during cross examination, repeatedly calling Hernandez’s attorney “Mr. Baez” in a sneering tone.

Prosecutors also had strong moments, including First Assistant District Attorney Patrick Haggan’s impassioned, 90-minute closing argument.

He reminded jurors that the “murder car,” Hernandez’s 4Runner, was found hidden in a Bristol, Conn., garage belonging to Tanya Singleton, Hernandez’s closest relative, nearly a year after the killings.

He also said the murder weapon was recovered from a woman with links to Hernandez. And, Haggan urged jurors to remember that Hernandez got a tattoo in the spring of 2013 depicting a six-shot revolver cylinder with one empty chamber, as well as the phrase “God Forgives” on his right arm.

“What is he asking God to forgive?” Haggan asked.

Initially during deliberations, a question from the jurors led some observers to speculate that the panel was leaning toward a conviction. Jurors asked Judge Jeffrey Locke on the day they got the case if they needed corroboration to back up specific testimony from an immunized witness, if they believed the statements provided “enough evidence for a conviction.”

Baez, Hernandez’s lawyer, said in a brief phone interview that the defense team was “shocked” when the jury put that question to Locke.

At the same time, however, he thought at least two jurors were against a conviction, based on their body language and demeanor at trial.

Legal analysts who watched the case said they were not surprised by the acquittal, because the case rested on Bradley, a convicted felon and Hernandez’s marijuana dealer, a difficult witness for jurors to find credible.

Boston Police Commissioner William B. Evans said he respects the jury but disagrees with the verdicts.

“The evidence in this case all points to Aaron Hernandez as the sole person responsible for the tragic and untimely deaths of Daniel de Abreu and Safiro Furtado,” Evans wrote in a statement.

Conley, the district attorney, said the victims’ families are taking solace in the fact that Hernandez returned to prison after the verdict.

“That’s certainly comforting to the families downstairs,” Conley said. “In fact, that was said by one of the family members — ‘at least he’s not walking out the door today.’ ”

Hernandez’s appeal hearing in connection with the earlier murder case is before the Supreme Judicial Court and has not yet been scheduled. The court could either uphold his conviction in the Lloyd case or order a new trial in Bristol Superior Court in Fall River.

Aaron Hernandez still facing 4-5 years for gun conviction

As lawyer Jose Baez, fresh from winning an acquittal of former Patriots tight end Aaron Hernandez in a double-murder case, now hopes to overturn Hernandez’s prior murder conviction, with the goal of ultimately making Hernandez a free man. A separate aspect of Friday’s outcome complicates that process.

The verdict exonerating Hernandez on murder and witness intimidation charges included a conviction for the unlawful possession of a gun. The presiding judge sentenced Hernandez to four-to-five years in prison, separate and apart from his existing life sentence for killing Odin Lloyd.

So even if Baez can overturn the conviction on appeal and win an acquittal at the end of a second trial, Baez will have to figure out how to circumvent the new conviction.

If Baez somehow erases the Odin Lloyd conviction and secures a “not guilty” verdict the second time around, an argument could be made that he should get credit for the time spent behind bars through the date of an eventual acquittal. That said, if there’s any discretion to be exercised by the judge that makes the final decision — and if that judge personally believes Hernandez killed one, two, or three people — the discretion could be exercised in a way that results in Hernandez remaining in prison.

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